Bitwise has lifted its 2036 Bitcoin target to $1.6 million, citing a larger store-of-value market and potential institutional allocations. But the wide scenario range, opaque methodology and unverified assumptions make the headline a forecast—not a promise.
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A Bitcoin price of $1.6 million by 2036 is attributed to Bitwise, but its model remains unverified. The headline rests on Bitcoin capturing a quarter of a projected $109.8 trillion store-of-value market—and the stated math falls short of the target.
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Bitwise says the institutions it spoke with held their crypto allocations through a roughly 50% market drop, and some even bought more. The message: serious allocators may be treating Bitcoin and select crypto assets as long-term portfolio positions, not panic trades.
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Bitwise’s survey suggests crypto is gaining ground with traditional wealth advisors: 60% plan allocations, with Bitcoin still the default choice. Regulatory uncertainty and access remain the main roadblocks, but the direction points toward wider mainstream adoption.
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Bitwise has launched three automated token portfolios built on Coinbase’s tokenized stocks, letting eligible non-U.S. investors keep assets in their own wallets while Glider handles rebalancing. It’s a promising onchain twist on stock exposure — but still wrapped in securities rules, fees, and plenty of fine print.
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Matt Hougan says tokenization could be crypto’s biggest infrastructure bet, with finance shifting from 9:30-to-4 markets to 24/7 on-chain rails. The upside is huge, but so are the legal and regulatory hurdles.
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Bitwise is exploring blockchain-based share records for select crypto funds with Superstate, starting with its Solana staking ETF BSOL. The move would keep shareholder rights intact while modernizing recordkeeping — but launch isn’t guaranteed, and this isn’t free-range onchain trading.
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Senate leaders have pushed the CLARITY Act vote to September, extending the U.S. crypto market structure stalemate and keeping the SEC-CFTC fight unresolved. Markets may wobble, but the real issue is whether lawmakers can finally write rules that protect builders and punish scammers.
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Bitwise has officially filed for a Solana ETF, putting SOL in the SEC’s review queue and signaling real issuer interest — not approval. It’s a meaningful step for Solana, but the regulator still has the final say.
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Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan sees signs a new crypto bull market may be forming, but the specific claim that Bitcoin’s next run starts “this fall” isn’t confirmed by the available material. Bullish outlook? Yes. Clean Bitcoin timing? Not so fast.
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