Kalshi has crossed $4 billion in weekly trading volume for the first time, a milestone that says a lot about where prediction markets are heading. What used to look like a quirky side bet for nerds, traders, and political junkies is starting to look like a serious market category with real liquidity, real demand, and […]
Read Full Article
U.S. regulators are moving closer together on prediction markets just as Wall Street doubles down on tokenization, Bitcoin miners face harsher economics, and stablecoins keep creeping toward the center of global finance. SEC and CFTC coordination could expand enforcement risk for prediction markets BlackRock tokenization pushes Ethereum deeper into TradFi plumbing Bitcoin price action above […]
Read Full Article
The CFTC is moving toward formal protections for some non-custodial crypto wallet developers, with Phantom potentially becoming the template for actual rules instead of a one-off no-action letter. At the same time, the agency is taking a hard line on prediction markets, telling states to back off and let federal law do its job. Phantom-style […]
Read Full Article
Coinbase is pressing the CFTC to draw a clean line around prediction markets, arguing the products already belong under federal derivatives law and don’t need Congress to reinvent the wheel. Coinbase filed on April 30 with the CFTC on prediction markets and event-based derivatives No new legislation needed, Coinbase says — the agency already has […]
Read Full Article
The CFTC’s push to formalize prediction market event contracts has triggered a messy but important showdown over who gets to control one of crypto’s most interesting—and most controversial—market ideas. More than 1,500 public comments were filed on the CFTC prediction market rules proposal. Kalshi, Polymarket, and a16z want the CFTC to keep sole federal control. […]
Read Full Article
Polymarket’s Seoul mayoral market has surged past $33.67 million in volume, turning South Korean politics into a live crypto price feed and, depending on your politics, either a brutally honest signal or a very expensive mess. Seoul race volume: about $33.67 million, or roughly 46 billion won Market leader: Jung Won-oh near 87% implied odds […]
Read Full Article
Polymarket is trying to bring its main exchange back into the U.S. market, and this time it wants the real door opened, not the side entrance. Main U.S. access: Polymarket wants direct approval for its core global exchange. Big money, big legitimacy: ICE invested heavily after Polymarket bought a CFTC-licensed exchange and clearinghouse. Regulatory heat: […]
Read Full Article
The CFTC is shrinking fast just as prediction markets, crypto-linked trading, and politically loaded wagers are getting harder to police. That is not exactly the kind of timing that inspires confidence. CFTC staffing down 24% since Trump returned to office Experienced enforcement lawyers were hit hardest Prediction markets are expanding as insider-trading concerns rise Lawmakers […]
Read Full Article
NY Attorney General Slams Coinbase and Gemini with Lawsuit Over Prediction Markets, Alleging Illegal Gambling The New York Attorney General has unleashed a legal bombshell on two titans of the crypto world, Coinbase and Gemini, accusing them of running what amounts to illegal gambling operations under the guise of prediction markets. This lawsuit isn’t just […]
Read Full Article
New York AG Slams Coinbase and Gemini with Lawsuit Over Prediction Markets New York Attorney General Letitia James has unleashed a legal storm on Coinbase Financial Markets and Gemini Titan, subsidiaries of two crypto heavyweights, accusing them of running prediction markets that violate state gambling laws. Filed on a Tuesday in Manhattan state court, this […]
Read Full Article