The Trump White House is reportedly vetting four CFTC candidates, a pick that could shape how bitcoin-linked markets, derivatives, and prediction markets are regulated in the U.S. One appointment won’t fix Washington’s crypto mess, but it could tilt the agency toward clarity or more red tape.
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Polymarket is moving beyond prediction markets with 20x perpetual futures on crypto, stocks, indices, and commodities for eligible international users. The expansion broadens its appeal, but with U.S. access still blocked and the CFTC watching closely, the regulatory heat is far from over.
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SEC and CFTC reportedly issued a joint interpretive release clarifying how existing U.S. securities law applies to cryptoassets, not a brand-new rulebook. The guidance maps tokens into five buckets, gives BTC and ETH clearer commodity treatment, and keeps fraud liability firmly in play.
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CME is suing the CFTC over its approval of Kalshi’s Bitcoin perpetual contract, arguing the agency overreached and reversed course without proper justification. The case could reshape how U.S. regulators classify crypto perps, and who gets to offer them onshore.
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The CFTC wants a judge to toss CME’s challenge to KalshiEX’s bitcoin perpetual contract before the court reaches the bigger issue: are perps futures or swaps in a crypto trench coat? The case could shape how the U.S. regulates bitcoin derivatives and beyond.
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Michigan has blocked Kalshi from offering sports contracts to state users, with a court order backed by a potential $500,000-a-day fine if it doesn’t comply. The fight now centers on whether Kalshi’s products are regulated derivatives or illegal sports betting in disguise.
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Polymarket says it has tightened surveillance ahead of the U.S. midterms to catch suspicious trading before regulators do. The push comes as insider-trading fears, U.S.-linked wallet activity, and legal fights over prediction markets keep the platform in the hot seat.
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Coinbase is pressing U.S. regulators to draw a clean line on perpetual derivatives, arguing that crypto firms shouldn’t have to guess whether the CFTC or SEC is in charge. The stakes are big: clearer rules could open the door to more U.S.-based trading, but they could also bring tougher limits on leverage and access.
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The CFTC is weighing whether regulated perpetual contracts for oil and gas could give energy markets true 24/7 hedging, especially during weekend shocks. Supporters call it overdue; skeptics warn that leverage, thin liquidity, and stablecoin collateral could turn innovation into a mess.
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The CLARITY Act is heading toward the Senate, but the supposed Sept. 15 vote isn’t confirmed. The bill could finally bring order to crypto oversight by splitting SEC and CFTC authority — or just create a cleaner set of loopholes in Washington’s usual mess.
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