Ripple’s 1 billion XRP escrow unlock barely moved the market, as traders increasingly focus on net supply, ETF inflows, and growing network activity instead of old fear headlines. With legal uncertainty fading and Ripple’s stack expanding, the real question is value capture, not supply panic.
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XRP is holding around $1.42 after its August surge, but traders are still waiting for a clean break above $1.48 to $1.50. The CLARITY Act is the bigger catalyst, while utility headlines may help sentiment without guaranteeing upside.
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XRP’s rally has cooled, and now the market is watching whether $1.36 support holds or the pullback deepens. ETF inflows keep the bullish case alive, while Ripple’s quantum-resistance roadmap adds a longer-term angle beyond the next price swing.
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Ripple’s RLUSD has topped $2 billion in market value, but the milestone reflects rising circulation and usage, not a price pump. The bigger question: can Ripple turn regulated stablecoin growth into real ecosystem traction without overhyping the XRP angle?
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XRP’s bullish case is getting more believable thanks to real XRPL upgrades and Ripple’s tokenization push, but the market still has to prove it can turn better plumbing into lasting demand. Price remains the final test, and $1.20 is the line bulls can’t afford to lose.
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XRP’s ETF era is here, with seven U.S. spot funds holding about $1.44 billion — but the market is still debating whether that’s enough to justify a higher price. Better access and clearer rules are real gains, though supply, leverage, and Bitcoin’s lead still keep the “undervalued” argument from being a slam dunk.
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Microsoft Copilot sees XRP climbing to a base-case $5 by 2026, with whale buying, a short squeeze, RLUSD growth, and ETF inflows powering the move. But the setup is hot, overbought, and fragile—if momentum fades or regulation bites, XRP could slide back toward $1.20–$1.30.
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Brad Garlinghouse is pushing Washington to clean up crypto’s regulatory mess, while the CFTC signals it may move ahead on market rules if Congress stalls on the Clarity Act. The fight is still about who gets to regulate crypto — and who gets left in the gray zone.
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XRP is seeing real institutional support through spot ETFs and inflows, but the $5-by-month-end chatter remains speculation at best. Meanwhile, MoneySimpler’s slick AI “passive income” pitch looks like classic high-yield hype dressed up as quant finance.
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XRP has reclaimed $1 and is pushing toward $1.10, giving bulls their first real test of strength, while rising RLUSD activity adds a more concrete use-case backdrop. The rebound looks better, but until resistance breaks, it’s momentum—not confirmation.
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